by Dr. Ed Brindley, publisher, Pallet Enterprise
Introduction Industrial
Reporting, Inc. conducted its fourth annual pallet recycling survey in
the fall of 1995. This article presents results from the survey, along
with additional input from previous surveys, when appropriate.
Questionnaires
were sent to many pallet recyclers around the country. A total of 92
useable completed surveys were received. No attempt is made to project
sample results to the entire population of pallet recyclers.
Recycling Growth Pattern Ask most
pallet recyclers and they will tell you they are still enthusiastic,
maybe even bullish, about their market growth. Most, however, would
probably agree that the pace of growth was less enthusiastic for the
overall pallet recycling industry in 1995.
Pallet
recyclers had enjoyed a growth rate during the 1990s that might be
described as phenomenal. The same could probably have been said for the
1980s, particularly the late 80s, but that data is not available. A case
can be made that the pallet recycling growth rate is beginning to level
off. Recycling was undergoing solid growth when the lumber shortage hit
more than three years ago. Higher lumber prices served to accelerate
recycling's growth. More pallet customers were willing to examine all
alternatives and found that recycled pallets satisfied their needs.
Recycling was in vogue. There was little surprise that pallet recyclers
experienced strong growth. In time, a balance between used pallet
supplies and the market was bound to occur; maybe it is approaching.
The
median (mid-point) average recycling dollar growth rate was 20% in both
1992 and 1993. Then in 1994, the median jumped to 26%, only to fall back
to a more modest 12% in 1995. The mean average rate of recycling dollar
growth was a whopping 31.6% in '94, but only 13.4% in '95. Yes, the
industry is still growing, but the growth appears to be more controlled.
(Fig. 1)
Survey
respondents projected continued strong recycling dollar growth in 1996
with a mean projected increase of 17.4%. It is noteworthy that 25 out of
88 respondents to this question expect either no growth or a decrease in
dollar volume in 1996; this is similar to the fact that 30 of 92
respondents reported no growth or a decrease in 1995. The previous three
surveys all yielded a very small percentage of companies that realized
no growth or negative growth. Nineteen ninety-five was the first year
during our survey span where no growth or negative growth was fairly
common.
The
growth of recycling was also reflected in the mean number of incoming
pallets to respondents' yards during the year. In 1992, the mean average
number of incoming pallets was 324,000; in 1994, 487,000; and in 1995,
513,000. The increase is obvious, but again the rate of increase seems
more modest for last year. (Fig. 2)
The
increase in incoming pallets is expected given the industry's reported
growth. We use three different averages to represent the data because
they have different meanings. The mean is influenced more by extreme
numbers; so it is not surprising that it is the largest. The median is
most descriptive, in a way, because it represents the middle number out
of the arranged data. Thus, about half the respondents have 350,000 or
more pallets coming in, and about half have 350,000 or fewer. This
serves as a better estimate of a typical recycler because it is
influenced less by the biggest companies. The mode of 500,000 pallets
represents the most popular reported number.
Figure 2 illustrates how incoming volumes compared to '94 volumes for
this year's respondents. Similar comparisons a year ago for '94 vs. '93
are in parentheses. Note the large percentage that registered no change
in incoming volumes in '95 (28.1%) vs. the year before (2%).
Composition of Incoming Pallets One of
the common changes in the pallet recycling world is an increase in the
number of companies involved in both recycled and new pallets.
Respondents reported an average product which breaks down to 34.4% new
pallets and 65.6% recycled pallets. More "recyclers" appear
ready to take advantage of providing full service for their customers.
This often includes building new pallets, especially small orders and
custom specifications. More established pallet manufacturers have become
involved in recycling to provide a wider range of services and products.
According to everything one reads and hears in the materials handling
world, a growing portion of the pallet market consists of customers who
want their pallet suppliers to eliminate their "pallet problems."
They want pallets to be user-friendly, providing an open arena for
companies that offer a total pallet service.
The
pallet recycling industry has historically been associated closely with
the 48x40 GMA market. While GMAs still constitute a major part of a
typical pallet recycler's business (approximately 50%), other multi-use
stringer pallets or single-use stringer pallets makeup about 40%. While
there was not a significant change in one year, future growth in the
less traditional, non-GMA markets is generally accepted by many
recyclers. (Fig. 3)
While
it can be difficult to detect gradual changes in two years, the data
suggests some possible changes in how recyclers are handling incoming
pallets. Many recyclers talk about a trend toward more total pallet
disassembly to retrieve repair lumber. And some indicate a reduction in
ground pallet and lumber volumes due to increased efficiency and
improved recycling practices. This year's data shows an increase in both
disassembly and ground material. The combination of the decrease in
repaired and reused and the increase in disassembly might support the
hypothesis that more recyclers are disassembling marginal pallets into
recycled lumber. (Fig. 4)
This
year's survey included 33 respondents with one-half million or more
incoming pallets. This larger plant portion of our sample yielded a mean
(average) number of incoming pallets of over a million units per plant.
Machinery Trends One of
the areas that has shown the most change in responses since our first
survey involves recycling machinery. Recyclers are required to be
increasingly more efficient; therefore they must constantly be prepared
to alter their materials handling practices. Several recognized
recycling leaders have shared that their plant layouts are constantly
being changed as machinery and people are shifted for greater production
efficiency. More and more recyclers are indicating an interest in pallet
sorting and handling machinery for 1996. Over three-fourths (76.9%) of
survey respondents indicated they were planning to purchase machinery
this year.
When
survey participants were asked what kinds of machinery they were
expecting to purchase in 1996 (Figure 5), the greatest response was
62.9% for trucks/trailers/forklifts (vs. 15% in '94 and 13% in '92).
Similarly, interest in stackers increased from 2% to 29%, and now 41.4%
during the same time period. Conveyor interest jumped from 20% in '94 to
40% in '95. Materials handling and upender or tipper interest grew from
5% to 15% and now 28.6% during these years.
Disassembly
machinery is another hot item. For 1996, 37.1% expect to purchase a band
dismantler and 17.1% a circular blade dismantler (vs. a dismantler total
for '92 and '94 of 49% and 41% respectively).
Platers
made a gradual but unexciting increase from 10% to 15% and now 17.1%
over the last four years. Saws, including end trim saws, show interest
levels of 15%, 29%, and 23.9% over the four year span.
Most
other machinery showed little change. Grinder interest bounced around
between 18% and 22% over the time period, and machines like nailers,
notchers, shears, and de-dusters showed limited interest with little
change.
GMA Pallets Many
changes are taking place in the recycled GMA marketplace. Now that Chep
USA has been active in the grocery pallet market for several years, its
impact is being felt. Chep reportedly has around 15 million pallets in
its rental system, with most taking the place of a GMA pallet. While the
total unit impact on the new and recycled GMA market is not known
precisely, it is bound to reduce the overall 48x40 GMA demand from what
it would have been. There was a period of time, about a year ago, when
incoming GMAs were difficult to locate in most areas of the country.
More recently the supply has been better; some metropolitan areas even
reported excess used pallet supplies.
In
today's changing pallet world, materials handling literature abounds
with stories about pallet using companies and industries that want a "better
pallet." The National Wooden Pallet and Container Association has
experienced this same trend with the companies and industries it is
assisting with "pallet problems." In this environment, one
might think that recycled pallets and remanufactured pallets made from
used lumber would be less popular. The growth in recycling contradicts
this assumption. In addition, many recyclers reported a shift in 1995
toward an increased demand for more #2 (B grade) GMAs and some reduction
in the demand for #1 (A grade) GMAs. We asked respondents how they
compared the demand for #1 vs. #2 GMA pallets. While 42.7% saw no change
in their demand percentages, 36% experienced a growth in #2 vs. #1
demand, and a smaller 21.3% have seen the demand for #1s grow vs. that
of #2s. One cannot be sure about any conclusions, but the data does seem
to support what we have heard from recyclers.
The
recycling market has become increasing competitive. A larger population
of recyclers has created a more competitive market for incoming used
pallets. In spite of a growing demand for recycled pallets, the
competitive nature of the marketplace has kept a lid on pallet prices.
When asked how '95 prices compared to those in '94, 54 out of 89
responses indicated no change, 19 reported an increase with a median
increase of 5% and a mean of 10.95%, and 16 reported lower GMA prices,
with a median decrease of 10% and a mean of 8.65%. The net effect is
very little overall change reported.
Survey
respondents report a typical difference between #1 and #2 pallets as
being $1 to $1.50. The mean, median, and mode average prices are
displayed in Figure 6. A median #1 price of $5.50 and two modal
(frequently reported) prices of $5 and $6 illustrate the concentration
of #1 prices in the range from $5 to $6.
The
three different average price measures for the #2 GMA are all around the
$4 mark. Most report prices somewhere between $3.50 and $4.50.
Pallet Repairing Practices Responding
to the question about whether or not they practice removing broken
stringers to replace them with new, 38.5% said they do, while 61.5% said
they don't. In 1994, 54.7% indicated they replaced broken stringers, and
45.3% didn't. For those who practice stringer replacement, it represents
an average of 8.8% of their recycled pallet units. Thus, companies that
practice full stringer replacement find it to be a significant repair
function.
A
major reason for the possible reduction in stringer replacement is the
increasing practice of total disassembly. The strong interest in
disassembly machinery supports the growing trend in disassembly, often
total disassembly.
When
it comes to stringer plating, 51.1% of respondents practice plating
versus 47% the previous year; the two surveys did not report much
change. For those who practice stringer plating, it averaged 12.9% of
their business, versus 19.1% of their business in 1994.
Although
most (87.8%) report that they do not use short repair decking that does
not span across all the stringers, this practice continues with
selective pallets and selected customers.
Fewer
respondents indicated that they own a grinder (38.9% in '95 vs. 44% in
'94). The average annual tonnage ground by those who have a grinder
increased from 3,807 tons in '94 to 4,942 tons in '95. The difference in
percentages of those owning a grinder is probably due to the larger
sample responding in '95. It is worth noting, however, that the dramatic
increase in disassembly with bandsaws is preserving more lumber,
particularly decking, for use in repairing and re-manufacturing pallets
from used lumber. This translates into more material being recycled and
less going into the grinder for some efficient operations. Several major
recyclers have commented to us that they have not seen the growth in
grinding volume they had projected, or that they are actually grinding
less material than they ground in recent years.
The
pie chart (Figure 7) shows the percentage of wood fiber used in the most
common markets. 1995 percentages are compared to '94 and '93 figures,
which appear in parentheses. Only a few markets were specifically
identified in the '93 survey, but comparisons are across the board for
'94. The biggest changes in our '94 and '95 surveys were a decrease in
poultry litter, an increase in colored mulch, and a more significant
increase in fiber for composite wood products. The recycling industry
would like to develop more higher value-added applications, but any
significant change is likely to occur gradually.
Pallet Networking Certainly,
the hottest topic in the pallet recycling industry over the past couple
of years is pallet networking companies, which exist to provide a wider
variety of pallet products to customers, particularly to companies with
multiple plant locations around the country. Several networking
companies have emerged in the last three years, including Pallet
Recycling Associates of North America (PRANA), Pallet Pallet, Pallet
Management Systems, and Bromley. We polled respondents about their
current involvement in pallet networking. Of those responding,
approximately half had either already affiliated with a network, were
currently talking with one, or had studied the possibility and decided
not to become involved at this time. Close to a third (30.8%) have not
yet examined networking options, and 13.2% were studying it from afar.
Why
all this interest in pallet networking companies? Respondents were given
seven networking reasons to rank according to their significance. The
most common reason involves the marketing and sales benefits that can be
achieved by working together with others outside your market area.
Although a network may have limited direct effect in a local market
area, the ability to service national accounts is one of the major
reasons supporting the networking concept. The third ranked benefit
involved raw materials. Networking may make it easier to get the maximum
benefit from material you have and also benefit from material others in
the network have. Management, financial, and production benefits
appeared on the bottom half of the benefit list.
We
asked respondents to provide their own responses for avoiding networks
and then composited their reasons into groups. The three most often
cited reasons to avoid networks loss of independence, distrust/high
risk/credibility/dependability, and loss of control are very similar in
nature. Conversations within the industry support the concern among
pallet entrepreneurs that they do not like losing control. They went
into business, or at least pumped so much energy into their businesses,
because they liked the feeling of independence. The concern that
networking will take away this independence is a major stumbling block.
It is interesting that lack of knowledge about networks was a major
concern reported. With all the things being written and said about
pallet networks, they are still somewhat of a mystery to many. Note that
a local business base makes many pallet company owners believe there are
few if any benefits from networking across the continent. It is
interesting, however, that this marketing/sales category was also the #1
benefit. What some see as a major benefit, others apparently see as a
reason to avoid networks. A second major contradiction is the subject of
profits. More profits was the #2 ranked networking benefit, but a few
supplied it as a reason to avoid networks.
Points to Remember Many of
the same closing remarks could be made after both the '94 and '95
surveys. Consider five major points.
First,
market growth has been fueled by the environmental push, higher lumber
prices in the early '90s, and the desire to save money. Higher lumber
prices are history at this point and show no signs of surfacing the
first half of 1996 (at least in hardwoods). The environmental push is
still in, although pallet users are reluctant to pay much, if anything,
for it. With the constant pressure to maintain cost control, many pallet
users are still anxious to use recycled pallets because they are less
expensive.
Second,
production gains are being made on a daily basis, especially in pallet
disassembly and improved lumber recovery. The biggest future gains are
likely to be made in materials handling. Stackers, conveyors, better
material flow, and more material control are a few of the dreams of
yesterday that will become the realities of tomorrow.
Third,
the marriage between new manufacturing and recycling will continue. More
pallet users will want to work with full service companies. The trend
toward pallet networking companies reinforces this fact.
Fourth,
recycling and third party pallet management go hand-in-hand. Recycling
is a major part of the foundation of the emerging networks. Pallet users
are concerned with their pallet and material handling problems. This
concern underlies the environment which is causing our industry to
restructure itself for success in tomorrow's markets. Recycling is an
integral part of this. Without a concerted effort to improve recycling
and make it more sophisticated, our industry is in trouble.
Fifth,
the future of the wooden pallet to a great extent lies in the hands of
the recyclers. It is true that better pallet quality and systems to help
close the loop are very important. But recyclers hold the keys to really
help close pallet loops and maintain the quality of pallets after they
are manufactured. Recyclers should not take this responsibility lightly.
The wooden pallet will be around for a long time, but recyclers will
play a major role in shaping its health and perception.
Reposted with permission of Edward C. Brindley, JR., Ph.D. on 6/3/98.